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Alternative Data Sets

How and What Algorithms Trade On?

 

1. Price-Based Factors

  • Momentum: Trading on trends or continuation of price movements.
  • Mean Reversion: Identifying assets that have deviated significantly from their historical mean price and anticipating a return to the mean.
  • Breakouts: Buying or selling when an asset's price moves outside defined support or resistance levels.

2. Volume-Based Factors

  • Liquidity: Assessing volume and bid-ask spreads to ensure cost-effective execution.
  • Unusual Volume Spikes: Capitalizing on significant volume increases as a precursor to price movements.

3. Technical Indicators

  • Moving Averages: Simple (SMA), Exponential (EMA), and crossovers as signals.
  • Relative Strength Index (RSI): Overbought or oversold conditions.
  • Bollinger Bands: Price volatility and deviation from the mean.
  • MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): Momentum and trend direction.

4. Fundamental Data

  • Earnings Reports: Trading on earnings announcements and revisions.
  • Economic Indicators: GDP, employment data, inflation, etc.
  • Valuation Metrics: Price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-book (P/B), etc.

5. Market Microstructure Data

  • Order Book Dynamics: Analyzing bid/ask levels, imbalances, and order flow.
  • Latency Arbitrage: Exploiting microseconds of information lag.
  • Quote Manipulations: Detecting spoofing or layering activity.

6. Arbitrage Opportunities

  • Statistical Arbitrage: Trading pairs or baskets of correlated securities.
  • Event Arbitrage: Trading on mergers, acquisitions, or other corporate events.
  • Cross-Exchange Arbitrage: Exploiting price differences across different markets or exchanges.

7. Sentiment Analysis

  • News Sentiment: Using NLP (Natural Language Processing) to interpret news or social media sentiment.
  • Reddit and Forums: Monitoring retail sentiment on platforms like WallStreetBets.
  • Earnings Call Sentiment: Parsing management tone during earnings calls.

8. Alternative Data

  • Satellite Data: Monitoring parking lots, crop conditions, or shipping activity.
  • Web Traffic: Analyzing online metrics like search trends, e-commerce sales.
  • Social media Trends: Trending topics and hashtags impacting market sentiment.

9. Risk Factors

  • Volatility: Using the VIX or other measures to adjust portfolio exposure.
  • Beta Hedging: Managing exposure relative to market movements.
  • Drawdown Limits: Algorithms pausing trading when certain thresholds are breached.

10. Machine Learning and Predictive Factors

  • Pattern Recognition: Identifying and exploiting recurring patterns in market data.
  • Predictive Modeling: Using supervised or unsupervised machine learning for price prediction.
  • Feature Engineering: Combining factors (like price, volume, and news) to create new predictive variables.

11. Regulatory and Macro Events

  • Regulatory News: Trading based on new policies or regulations.
  • Geopolitical Events: Analyzing impacts of wars, sanctions, elections, etc.
  • Interest Rates: Central bank actions influencing forex and equity markets.

12. Time Decay or Seasonal Patterns

  • Intraday Patterns: Taking advantage of typical opening or closing market behavior.
  • Seasonality: Exploiting yearly cycles like the "Santa Claus Rally" or summer slowdowns.
  • Options Expiry: Managing positions based on time decay and gamma exposure.

Summary:

Algorithms leverage a mix of historical data, real-time signals, and advanced models to execute trades. The choice of factors depends on the algorithm's goals, market, and the sophistication of the underlying technology.

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